Something Big Is Happening

Is AI dangerous? The risk, explained in plain English

Why some of the people building AI warn it could be dangerous, what they have said in public, and the hopeful case, in plain English with links to the full essays.

Quick answer: Some of the people building AI say it could be catastrophic: one of Anthropic’s safety team leads said in public he puts the chance of AI killing all humans above 10% within the next decade, and that "we do not yet have a plan." Matt Shumer’s essays explain what they mean, how it could happen, and what it would take for AI to go well.

Updated

The short version

What to do about it

Where it all started

By Matt Shumer. Updated .

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